SoapZone Community: Politics Message Board
| Subject: | What the polls are saying in the final week before the 2024 election |
| From: | Kitchop    |
| Date: | Mon, 28-Oct-2024 5:03:03 PM PDT |
| Where: | SoapZone Community: Politics Message Board |
| In reply to: | 🥴 October Politics Post 🦨 posted by Antwon |
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National polls
Three websites that aggregate national and state surveys — the Silver Bulletin, FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times — currently have the national polling average as follows:
Silver Bulletin
Harris: 48.6%
Trump: 47.4%
FiveThirtyEight
Harris: 48.1%
Trump: 46.6%
New York Times
Harris: 49%
Trump: 48%
All three show Harris with a narrow lead in the popular vote, but each less than two percentage points — well within the aggregated margins of error.
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Swing state polls
The same websites have polling averages in the seven battleground states as follows:
Silver Bulletin
Nevada: Harris 47.9% | Trump 47.9%
Arizona: Trump 49.4% | Harris 47.3%
Wisconsin: Harris 48.5% | Trump 48.0%
Michigan: Harris 48.1% | Trump 47.4%
Pennsylvania: Trump 48.3% | Harris 48.0%
North Carolina: Trump 48.9% | Harris 47.6%
Georgia: Trump 49.0% | Harris 47.6%
FiveThirtyEight
Nevada: Trump 47.5% | Harris 47.3%
Arizona: Trump 48.6% | Harris 46.8%
Wisconsin: Harris 47.9% | Trump 47.7%
Michigan: Harris 47.7% | Trump 47.2%
Pennsylvania: Trump 47.9% | Harris 47.7%
North Carolina: Trump 48.4% | Harris 47.1%
Georgia: Trump 48.6% | Harris 47.1%
New York Times
Nevada: Harris 48% | Trump 48%
Arizona: Trump 49% | Harris 48%
Wisconsin: Harris 49% | Trump 48%
Michigan: Harris 49% | Trump 48%
Pennsylvania: Harris 49% | Trump 48%
North Carolina: Trump 49% | Harris 48%
Georgia: Trump 49% | Harris 48%
- Remember the polls in 2016? This all comes down to turnout. If the turnout - jeffb_FriscoSonnyFan - 29-Oct-2024 10:25 AM
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Too close for comfort - Monkeyonthelam - 28-Oct-2024 7:19 PM
- It is. There were a couple of good polls for her today and yesterday... - Cassie - 29-Oct-2024 3:37 PM
- I agree. Here’s hoping she doesn’t only win the popular vote but also - Kitchop - 28-Oct-2024 10:21 PM
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I'm fairly certain I heard on Good Morning America today that the polls from - Antwon - 28-Oct-2024 5:45 PM
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Are they confirmed to be insulted enough? These days it doesn't seem to - jeffb_FriscoSonnyFan - 29-Oct-2024 12:14 PM
- We're hearing anecdotal instances. Apparently, a talk radio show in - Cassie - 29-Oct-2024 3:53 PM
- If they have common sense or more importantly--a sense of their heritage then - Antwon - 29-Oct-2024 1:29 PM
- I'm going to watch a movie, drink, and ignore my phone until 10:00 p.m. I don't - LuvMyKidlets - 29-Oct-2024 9:27 AM
- They haven't taken into account their misses in 2022, either. - Cassie - 29-Oct-2024 9:21 AM
- and the polling from 2016 was off base, as well. EOM - chloe - 29-Oct-2024 8:06 AM
- I have plans to go out to an early movie on Election Day. I’m seeing Anora. - Kitchop - 28-Oct-2024 10:14 PM
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Are they confirmed to be insulted enough? These days it doesn't seem to - jeffb_FriscoSonnyFan - 29-Oct-2024 12:14 PM
